Data & Analysis

The numbers behind the mandate.

Electoral data, demographic profiles, voting rights tracking, and policy analysis — built to be used.

01
Electoral Data

Voter file analysis, turnout history, margin impact data, and competitive race ratings for federal and state races across 12 target states.

Access via Publications
02
Suppression Tracker

Real-time tracking of voter restriction legislation across target states, including bill status, sponsor, projected impact, and litigation status.

View the Tracker
03
District Profiles

Demographic, economic, and electoral profiles for key congressional and state legislative districts — the intelligence layer for targeting decisions.

View District Profiles
Key Findings

What the data tells us.

Black voters are the decisive margin in at least 47 federal races across our 12 target states in 2026.

When Black voter turnout matches 2020 levels, those races flip or hold. When it drops below 2018 levels, they do not. This is not theory — it is arithmetic.

Suppression Activity, 2025–2026

134 voter restriction bills introduced across 12 target states since January 2025. 28 signed into law. 19 currently in litigation. The suppression infrastructure is active and accelerating.


Economic Conditions

In the 12 target states, the median Black household wealth is 11 cents for every dollar of median white household wealth. Political power without economic policy change does not close that gap.


Representation Gap

Black Americans represent 19.4% of the population in target states and hold 11.2% of state legislative seats. The underrepresentation is structural, not incidental.

Data Access & Partnerships

The Reconstruction Institute makes its publications available publicly at no cost. Select datasets and custom analyses are available to partner organizations, law firms engaged in voting rights litigation, and academic researchers.

To request data access or discuss a research partnership, contact us at research@thereconstructioninstitute.com.

We do not provide voter file data or electoral targeting analysis directly to campaigns or political committees. That work flows through our affiliated organizations in accordance with applicable law.